Roche Takeover of Genentech Likely
Late last week, Roche raised the price of its hostile offer to buy out Genentech to $93 a share, from $86.50. While the Genentech board advised its shareholders that the company is worth $112 per share, many financial analysts believe that the $93 per share offer may entice institutional investors to “pull the trigger” on the deal. Roche also extended its offer to shareholders by a week, until March 20. Roche already owns over 65 percent of Genentech’s outstanding shares.
Roche has indicated that if fewer than half the minority shares were tendered, it would not buy any of the shares tendered by Genentech shareholders. The new offer is likely to bring in more than half the minority shares, which would raise Roche’s ownership to at least 78 percent. About 71 percent of 131 Genentech stockholders who responded to a survey by Deutsche Bank on Friday said they would tender at least some of their shares at $93, and of those, half said they would tender virtually all. It is not clear what will happen if Roche is unable to purchase 100% of Genentech's shares.
Roche is motivated to close the deal as quickly as possible before results are released next month from a clinical trial of Avastin, one of Genentech’s top-selling cancer drugs. That trial, testing Avastin as a treatment for colon cancer after surgical removal of the tumore, could open a huge new market for the drug, which is now approved to treat cancer only at a later stage. Positive results from the trial may push Genentech’s stock price to over $100 per share—something that Roche desperately doesn’t want to happen.
If Roche is successful in its takeover bid, it will likely to result in massive layoffs at Roche’s Nutley, NJ headquarters. Previously, Roche announced that it would move its US headquarters from Nutley to the Bay area if it acquires Genentech. Not good news for the state of New Jersey which is still reeling from the Pfizer-Wyeth takeover announced six weeks ago and the Merck-Schering Plough merger mentioned earlier today.
Until next time...
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